Are Pre-Election Polls More Helpful than Harmful? Evidence from the Canadian Case
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 11967243 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jean-François Daoust (0000-0002-2736-7430, Politics and International Relations, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, corresponding author), Claire Durand (0000-0003-2794-5189, Université de Montréal), André Blais (0000-0003-4292-110X, Université de Montréal) |
| Year | 2020 |
| Volume | 46 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 175-186 |
| Publication date | 2020-01-03 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Canadian Public Policy (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0317-0861 • E-ISSN: 1911-9917 |
| Publisher | University of Toronto Press Inc. (UTPress) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.3138/cpp.2019-011 |
| OpenAlex | W2997674479 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 11 |
| References cited | 34 |
The growing importance of polls in news coverage raises questions about whether legislators should regulate polls in election campaigns. Although restrictions are on the rise, little is known about some basic but important facts regarding polls. Who reads polls? Are citizens who are aware of polls more likely to change their voting behaviour? And do polls help them to better anticipate electoral outcomes? We answer these questions using data from the 2015 Canadian election. We show that being exposed to polls is not associated with voter’s likelihood of changing their vote choice compared with their vote intention during the campaign, does not affect the propensity to turn out or abstain, but does improve their ability to forecast the winner. We conclude that polls are more helpful than harmful
Advertising · Affect (linguistics · Business · Group voting ticket · Political science · Politics · Public relations · Spoilt vote · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Psychology · Social Media and Politics
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| Unique citing works | 11 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,2 |
| Citation span | 2021 - 2026 (6) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 10 |