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The Short-Run Household, Industrial, and Labour Impacts of the Quebec Carbon Market

Bibliographic Data

ID11969563
AuthorsChristopher P Barrington-Leigh (0000-0002-3929-5390, McGill University, corresponding author), Christopher Barrington-Leigh (McGill University), Bronwen Tucker (McGill University), Joaquin Kritz Lara (Numera Analytics, Montreal, Quebec)
Year2015
Volume41
Issue4
Pages265-280
Publication date2015-11-03
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueCanadian Public Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0317-0861 • E-ISSN: 1911-9917
PublisherUniversity of Toronto Press Inc. (UTPress) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.3138/cpp.2015-015
OpenAlexW2262643056
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited8

Resistance to the implementation of greenhouse gas pricing policies comes in part from fears about the concentrated impacts on certain industries, certain regions, and on less affluent households. These distributional concerns are valid and, to be fair, policy can accommodate some transitional measures to soften the impact of sudden policy changes. However, the carbon pricing policy recently instituted in Quebec, in partnership with California under the Western Climate Initiative, is relatively modest in price targets, gradual in implementation, and has the capacity to spend revenues on transitional and impact-mediating programs for the labour market and households. We analyze the expected short-run impacts of the policy, focusing on equity in two domains: the household income distribution and labour in different industrial sectors. Our analysis focuses on the short-term effects, before capital is significantly reallocated, and before most substitution toward lower-carbon or imported goods has happened. For reasonable prices and pass-through levels, and modelling direct and indirect emissions, we bracket these impacts, finding modest effects in all cases. Generous permit handouts to incumbents are likely to result in some windfall profits. Quebec would benefit from greater transparency in the intended allocation of the Green Fund revenues. Overall, the policy appears tuned to provide a balance of price predictability, steady decarbonisation, and manageable transition costs, but could likely be more aggressive

Economics · Equity (law · Greenhouse gas · Natural resource economics · Revenue · Transparency (behavior · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Global Energy and Sustainability Research · Finance

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Citations per year0.45
Citation span2015 - 2024 (10)
Highly citedNo

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