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Evaluating Alternative Migration Estimation Techniques for Population Estimates and Projections

Bibliographic Data

ID12077658
AuthorsHenry Renski (0000-0001-5964-057X, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA, corresponding author), Susan Strate (University of Massachusetts, Donahue Institute, Hadley, MA, USA)
Year2013
Volume33
Issue3
Pages325-335
Publication date2013-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Planning Education and Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0739-456X • E-ISSN: 1552-6577
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/0739456x13484362
OpenAlexW2068619468
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited13

Accurate population estimates are critical to effective planning and policy. This study evaluates county population estimates using three different approaches to estimate domestic migration—typically the most volatile component of population change. Using the 2010 Census as a benchmark, it compares the standard net-migration approach to two gross migration approaches—a biregional approach and a multiregional approach that models migration between county pairs. The biregional model produces the lowest average error and is a good choice when producing estimates for a large number of diverse areas. The multiregional model works well for many counties, but is prone to extreme errors

Benchmark (surveying · Cartography · Census · Econometrics · Economics · Estimation · Geography · Net migration rate · Population · Population growth · Projections of population growth · Statistics · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Demography · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies

  • Evaluation of Alternative Cohort-Component Models for Local Area Population Forecasts

    Open Access•Tom Wilson•Population Research and Policy…•2016

  • The Methods and Materials of Demography

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  • Requiem for the Net Migrant

    Open Access•Andrei Rogers•Geographical Analysis•1990

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    Open Access•Michael J Greenwood•Journal of Regional Science•1985

  • Comparative empirical evaluations of internal migration models in subnational population projections

    Open Access•Tom Wilson, Martin Bell•Journal of Population Research•2004

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    Open Access•Stefan Rayer•Journal of Planning Education and…•2008

  • Accounting for migration in cohort-component projections of state and local populations

    Open Access•Stanley K Smith•Demography•1986

  • On the utility of population forecasts

    Open Access•Jeff Tayman, David A Swanson•Demography•1996

Unique citing works1
Citations per year0.1
Citation span2016 - 2016 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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