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The uneven geography of US air traffic delays

Quantifying the impact of connecting passengers on delay propagation

Bibliographic Data

ID12293091
AuthorsAthina Sismanidou (0000-0002-4852-6226, Universitat Oberta de Catalunya, corresponding author), Joan Tarradellas (0000-0002-7814-0607, EADA Business School), Pere Suau-Sanchez (0000-0002-5091-9352, Universitat Oberta de Catalunya)
Year2021
Volume98
Pages103260-103260
Publication date2021-12-20
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Transport Geography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0966-6923 • E-ISSN: 1873-1236
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103260
OpenAlexW4200134471
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited49

Sustained airport congestion periods translate into delays, especially in hub-and-spoke networks in which delay propagation is more evident. We examine the impact of connecting passenger arrival delays on network delay propagation by using passenger level data combined with flight delay data that allow us to analyse the correlation between delayed incoming flights and departure delays at the 21 U.S. airports with most delays, in July 2018. Results show that correlation between daily arrival delays and daily carrier induced departure delays are statistically significant only for flights carrying high proportions of connecting passengers. Correlation values are also higher for short-to-moderate arrival delays. In addition, a Neural Network model was trained for six major airports to build a delay prediction model and map the potential delay propagation. The results of the propagation scenarios suggest that the presence of a unique dominant carrier at an airport translates into a stronger correlation between arrival and carrier delays than that at airports where different carriers compete for connecting passengers. Furthermore, airline hubs located near the areas of the network with more traffic density, independently of the hub's volume of traffic, are more likely to propagate the delay than hubs located in the periphery. The results of this study can be relevant for airline, airport, and traffic control policies aimed at mitigating airport and network congestion

Air traffic control · Arrival time · Aviation · Cartography · Computer network · Geography · Network delay · Propagation delay · Queueing theory · Queuing delay · Traffic congestion · Transport engineering · Air Traffic Management and Optimization · Aviation Industry Analysis and Trends · Computer Science · Engineering · Transportation Planning and Optimization · Aerospace Engineering

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0.33
Citation span2023 - 2023 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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