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A walker's paradise ain't a driver's hell

Evaluating the causal effect of temporary road pedestrianization on traffic conditions of surrounding roads

Bibliographic Data

ID12295996
AuthorsGiancarlos Parady (0000-0002-7581-774X, The University of Tokyo, corresponding author), Makoto Chikaraishi (0000-0002-8053-9473, Hiroshima University), Yuki Oyama (0000-0001-5172-6600, The University of Tokyo)
Year2025
Volume127
Pages104269-104269
Publication date2025-05-14
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Transport Geography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0966-6923 • E-ISSN: 1873-1236
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104269
OpenAlexW4410350475
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited23

This study uses a natural experiment approach to evaluate the causal effect of three regular road pedestrianization schemes in Central Tokyo on traffic conditions in surrounding areas. Cross-sectional traffic volume data collected by the Metropolitan Police Department via traffic counters was used as the dependent variable and causal effect evaluation was done via a difference-in-differences (DID) approach, where the temporal pedestrianization of a street was used as the treatment of interest. We take advantage of (1) the variability in pedestrianization execution days and (2) the seasonal variability in pedestrianization time periods, to define the natural experiments. Furthermore, three different buffer areas of 500 m, 750 m and 1000 m were used to evaluate the sensitivity of effect estimates to the definition of the impact area. No evidence of severe increases in traffic volume in the surrounding areas of pedestrianized roads was found, suggesting that human-centric network design is not necessarily a zero-sum game between pedestrians and drivers. While small increases in traffic volume of around 5 % and slight increases in congestion near pedestrianized links can be expected, these changes are unlikely to translate into worsening traffic conditions and can be managed by the existing road network in Tokyo

Art history · Paradise · Road traffic · Transport engineering · Engineering · History · Traffic and Road Safety · Transportation Planning and Optimization · Urban Transport and Accessibility

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo

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