Shipping trade and geopolitical turmoil

Bibliographic Data

ID12296115
AuthorsBárbara Polo Martín (0009-0009-5790-0409), Bárbara Polo-Martin (0000-0001-7891-3414, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid), Marc-Antoine Faure (0009-0007-1830-2970, EconomiX), Fabio Cremaschini (University of Genoa), Cesar Ducruet (0000-0002-0946-4712, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume128
Pages104342-104342
Publication date2025-08-07
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Transport Geography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0966-6923 • E-ISSN: 1873-1236
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104342
OpenAlexW4413043646
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited94

Conflicts, whether political, commercial or military, affect transport networks. In the context of large-scale conflicts, operators seek to avoid the most tense areas or reconsider certain routes. Certain links can be disrupted in case of local geopolitical tensions, which can have a significant global impact. The article is devoted to studying Ukraine’s maritime network and identifying changes in these structures because of the armed confrontation that started in 2014. The purpose of the paper is to quantify, model and visualise the main changes in the Ukrainian seaport system and maritime forelands from 2010 until the most recent data available (December 2024). To this end, we propose a threefold strategy based on network models, bilateral trade analyses and route simulation. The results emphasise three (dynamic) processes characterising the Ukrainian seaport system: significant short-term impact, disruption — mostly on distant connections — and resilience of the network through reallocation to other routes and transport modes

Business · Economics · Geopolitics · International trade · Political science · Politics · Law · Law, logistics, and international trade · Maritime Ports and Logistics · Maritime Security and History

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