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Spatial profiles in the analysis of event histories

An application to first sexual intercourse in Italy

Bibliographic Data

ID12435086
AuthorsFrancesco C Billari (0000-0003-4717-6129, Max Planck Society, corresponding author), Riccardo Borgoni (0000-0002-2520-3512, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research)
Year2002
Volume8
Issue4
Pages261-275
Publication date2002-07-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Population Geography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1077-3495 • E-ISSN: 1099-1220
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/ijpg.262
OpenAlexW2127568417
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited19

The aim of this paper is mainly methodological using individual‐level retrospective data from the Italian Fertility and Family Survey. Linking individual‐level data with geographical characteristics of the community, we firstly used non‐parametric methods, and in particular the bi‐dimensional LOESS (locally weighted regression) method, to build smoothed maps of the transition to first sexual intercourse. Secondly, we used a discrete‐time multilevel event‐history model (with logit specification), allowing for the presence of unobserved heterogeneity at the municipality level. We used ‘latitude’, ‘longitude’, and dimension of the municipality as aggregate‐level explanatory variables in the model. Thus, we could build spatial profiles and a map, using predicted values for the log‐odds‐ratio, and we could also study cohort dynamics. Our results confirm that Italy is a heterogeneous country; when looking at age at the first sexual intercourse, women are more influenced by their context than men. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

Context (archaeology · Econometrics · Geography · Logistic regression · Multilevel model · Odds · Population · Sexual intercourse · Sociology · Spatial analysis · Statistics · Demography · Economic and Environmental Valuation · Land Use and Ecosystem Services · Mathematics · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis

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Unique citing works6
Citations per year0.26
Citation span2003 - 2009 (7)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6

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