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Trade in the Face of Terror

Examining Turkey’s Export Dynamics

Bibliographic Data

ID12440482
AuthorsEvrim Zeynep Ünlü (0000-0002-2045-5702, Independent Researcher , Istanbul , Türkiye, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume31
Issue1
Pages91-122
Publication date2024-12-12
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePeace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1079-2457 • E-ISSN: 1554-8597
PublisherDe Gruyter (PUBLISHER • DE)
DOI10.1515/peps-2024-0023
OpenAlexW4405315105
LanguageEN
References cited43

In the preceding 11 years, Turkey has witnessed 925 terrorist incidents, resulting in the unexpected passing of 1,439 people. Concurrently, the neighbouring nations, Syria, and Iraq, have also experienced a multitude of terrorist activities. This study’s main objective is to explore how these events have affected Turkey’s exports and intra-industry trade. The investigation is centred on Turkey’s trade relationships with 71 countries, representing its primary trading partners, employing a one-way trade model. Utilizing the Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood (PPML) estimator, the study spans 2012 to 2022. The findings underscore the adverse impact of domestic terrorist incidents, casualties in other countries, and the global terrorism index on Turkey’s exports. Surprisingly, the investigation finds a positive connection between Turkey’s exports and terrorist incidents in both neighbouring and non-bordering countries. Furthermore, the empirical analysis sheds light on Turkey’s engagement in intra-industry trade concerning manufacturing industry and GDP similarities. However, the scenario changes for information and communication technology (ICT) exports, revealing an inter-type of industry trade

Business · Economics · Globalization · International trade · Market economy · Multitude · Political science · Terrorism · Economic Sanctions and International Relations · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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