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What to Expect When You Don’t Know What You are Expecting

Vigilance and the Monitoring and Evaluation of an Uncertain World

Bibliographic Data

ID12470570
AuthorsRob Goble (0000-0001-6571-5996, Clark University, corresponding author), Edward R Carr (0000-0001-7784-471X, Clark University), Jon Anderson (0000-0002-6052-5154, George Perkins Marsh Institute, Clark University, Worcester, MA, USA)
Year2022
Volume44
Issue1
Pages74-89
Publication date2022-07-05
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Evaluation (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1098-2140 • E-ISSN: 1557-0878
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/10982140221079639
OpenAlexW4285021939
LanguageEN
References cited15

Complexity and uncertainty are long-standing challenges for global development projects. Coping with both requires flexibility and adaptation, the ability to identify unexpected circumstances, seize opportunities, and respond to threats. Vigilance is critical; it resides within the domains of monitoring, evaluation, and learning. In practice, maintaining vigilance is difficult, partly because effective vigilance has a dual nature. Normal, Type 1 vigilance, is anchored in knowing what to look for. It demands focus and attention to designated indicators. Type 2 vigilance looks for what project preparations failed to anticipate. It demands defocusing and openness; it sits outside contemporary design of monitoring and evaluation as it must question the assumptions in project design and implementation. We consider the role of both types of vigilance in global development and difficulties in maintaining both simultaneously. We identify pathways for improving the practice of vigilance and suggest practical steps in a template for pilot efforts

Business · Cognitive psychology · Coping (psychology · Openness to experience · Risk analysis (engineering · Vigilance (psychology · Applied Psychology · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Computer Science · Disaster Management and Resilience · Evaluation and Performance Assessment · Psychology · Social Psychology

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