Global Governance

Three Futures

Bibliographic Data

ID12692958
AuthorsMiles Kahler (0000-0002-0050-8790, American University, corresponding author)
Year2018
Volume20
Issue2
Pages239-246
Publication date2018-05-29
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Studies Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1468-2486 • E-ISSN: 1521-9488
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/isr/viy035
OpenAlexW2807057564
LanguageEN
Citations received17
References cited9

Since the end of Cold War, three sets of actors have produced change in global governance, change that could be threatening and transformative for existing global governance institutions and the future of international cooperation. Three alternative futures have emerged: fragmentation, stagnation, and transformation. Emerging powers—and some established powers—have promoted new regional institutions that offer useful competition but also the threat of fragmentation. Divergence of preferences between emerging and incumbent powers have also produced stagnation, but the greatest threat of stagnation has come with the rise of populist and nationalist movements that have now found a voice in two powerful countries, the U.S. and the U.K. Finally, non-state and subnational actors have produced new modes of governance, in which national governments and intergovernmental organizations play a reduced, though often strategic role. United States withdrawal from or disruption of global governance would alter the likelihood that these futures will emerge

Corporate governance · Divergence (linguistics · Economic system · Economics · Futures contract · Global governance · Political economy · Political science · Sociology · Transformative learning · Global Peace and Security Dynamics · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy

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