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Interventions and Conflict Incentives

Bibliographic Data

ID12891739
AuthorsThorsten Janus (0000-0002-6989-5258, University of Wyoming, corresponding author)
Year2009
Volume8
Issue2
Pages191-208
Publication date2009-04-28
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueEthnopolitics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1744-9057 • E-ISSN: 1744-9065
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/17449050802246064
OpenAlexW2014345495
LanguageEN
References cited24

Recent literature suggests that well-intentioned third-party intervention in military conflict can lead to moral hazard by acting as a subsidy to rebellion. In this paper, the following are suggested: failure to intervene can also lead to conflict, which will be called the ‘insufficient deterrence’ problem; and a classification scheme for potential conflicts in the world, which can be used to derive the optimal intervention policy on a case-by-case basis. The optimal policy may be to intervene at random because certainty in some cases will encourage parties who benefit from intervention or parties who lose to attack. The model also suggests that post-conflict aid and a siding-with-the-winner approach may promote the incidence of conflict, even if such policies lower the loss from unavoidable conflicts

Certainty · Conflict avoidance · Conflict resolution · Conflict resolution research · Deterrence (psychology · Deterrence theory · Economics · Incentive · International conflict · Intervention (counseling · Law and economics · Microeconomics · Moral hazard · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Psychological intervention · Subsidy · Global Peace and Security Dynamics · Law · Peacebuilding and International Security · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology

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Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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