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Climate Change in the Brazilian Cerrado

A Looming Threat to Terrestrial Biodiversity

Bibliographic Data

ID12929167
AuthorsGabriel S Hofmann (0000-0003-2525-8537, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, corresponding author), Eliseu J Weber (0000-0003-4873-0232, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul), Vinicius Augusto Galvão Bastazini (0000-0001-5270-0621, Oldham Council), Davi R Rossatto (0000-0001-9510-8345, Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)), Augusto C Franco (0000-0003-0869-5989, Universidade de Brasília), Camille E Granada (0000-0002-7493-1348, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul), Lucas A Kaminski (0000-0002-6468-0960, Universidade Federal de Alagoas), Flávio K Ubaid (0000-0001-8604-1206, Universidade Estadual do Maranhão), Victor Leandro‐Silva (0000-0001-9985-5532, Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco), Márcio Borges‐Martins (0000-0001-9328-5794, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul), Rafael C Silva (0000-0001-6510-5290, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul), Manoel Cardoso (0000-0003-2447-6882, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais), Luiz F B Oliveira (0000-0002-3027-0576, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro), Francisco E Aquino (0000-0003-2993-1100, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul), María João Ramos Pereira (0000-0002-9365-5166, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul)
Year2025
Volume16
Issue5
Publication date2025-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/wcc.70022
OpenAlexW7084064381
LanguageEN
References cited149

Over the past 5000 years, the predictable climate seasonality of the Brazilian Cerrado has played a crucial role in shaping the life history strategies of species and the structure of ecological communities of this global biodiversity hotspot. However, this biome is becoming hotter and drier, with a notable lengthening and intensification of the dry season. Declining rainfall results from three key factors: the expansion of the South Atlantic Subtropical Anticyclone, warming of northern tropical Atlantic waters, and reduced evapotranspiration during the dry season due to widespread land conversion. The evapotranspiration drop also plays a pivotal role in regional warming and higher vapor pressure deficit. Climatic change already affects the physiology, phenology, and reproduction of the Cerrado plants, while also driving community‐level alterations, such as woody encroachment and ant–plant–herbivore interaction outcomes. Dry season lengthening is likely to reduce the biomass and alter the dynamics of microbial communities, with negative effects also extending to invertebrates and other groups. The pronounced warming reduces the amount and duration of dewfall, an important water source for insect pollinators and other animals with low vagility during periods of drought. Concerning vertebrates, the most suggested impact is the loss of specialist or endemic species, with restricted distributions, and the expansion of generalist species, lowering the levels of β‐ and γ‐diversity across the region and making communities poorer and more homogenized. In summary, climate change is actively reshaping Cerrado communities, and species' survival will largely depend on their phenotypic plasticity, evolutionary response, and dispersal capabilities. This article is categorized under: Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Observed Impacts of Climate Change Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Observed Ecological Changes Trans‐disciplinary Perspectives > Regional Reviews

Biodiversity · Biological dispersal · Biomass (ecology · Biome · Climate change · Dry season · Generalist and specialist species · Global warming · Subtropics · Diptera species taxonomy and behavior · Invertebrate Immune Response Mechanisms · Vector-Borne Animal Diseases

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Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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