El Niño and our future climate
Where do we stand
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12929290 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Gabriel A Vecchi (0000-0002-5085-224X, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, corresponding author), Andrew T Wittenberg (0000-0003-1680-8963, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) |
| Year | 2010 |
| Volume | 1 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 260-270 |
| Publication date | 2010-02-09 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1002/wcc.33 |
| OpenAlex | W2032060152 |
| Language | FR |
| Citations received | 11 |
| References cited | 73 |
El Niño and La Niña comprise the dominant mode of tropical climate variability: the El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. ENSO variations influence climate, ecosystems, and societies around the globe. It is, therefore, of great interest to understand the character of past and future ENSO variations. In this brief review, we explore our current understanding of these issues. The amplitude and character of ENSO have been observed to exhibit substantial variations on timescales of decades to centuries; many of these changes over the past millennium resemble those that arise from internally generated climate variations in an unforced climate model. ENSO activity and characteristics have been found to depend on the state of the tropical Pacific climate system, which is expected to change in the 21st century in response to changes in radiative forcing (including increased greenhouse gases) and internal climate variability. However, the extent and character of the response of ENSO to increased in greenhouse gases are still a topic of considerable research, and given the results published to date, we cannot yet rule out possibilities of an increase, decrease, or no change in ENSO activity arising from increases in CO 2 . Yet we are fairly confident that ENSO variations will continue to occur and influence global climate in the coming decades and centuries. Changes in continental climate, however, could alter the remote impacts of El Niño and La Niña. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Detection and Attribution
Abrupt climate change · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Effects of global warming · El Niño Southern Oscillation · Forcing (mathematics · Geography · Global warming · Globe · Greenhouse gas · La Niña · Multivariate ENSO index · Radiative forcing · Atmospheric Ozone and Climate · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Geology · Oceanography
Connecting sea to market
Investigating El Niño‐Southern Oscillation and society relationships
El Niño and children
Unfamiliar Territory
The carbon cycle response to two El Nino types
Decreases in relative humidity across Australia
Changes in temporal variability of precipitation over land due to anthropogenic forcings
The debate
Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods
Observation‐based detection and attribution of 21st century climate change
Situating El Niño
El Niño/Southern Oscillation and tropical Pacific climate during the last millennium
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
Variability in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation Through a Glacial-Interglacial Cycle
Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America
El Niño variability off Peru during the last 20,000 years
| Citations per year | 0.73 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2011 - 2025 (15) |
| Highly cited | No |