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On the political feasibility of climate change mitigation pathways

Is it too late to keep warming below 1.5°C

Bibliographic Data

ID12929511
AuthorsJessica Jewell (0000-0003-2846-9081, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, corresponding author), Aleh Cherp (0000-0002-9299-9792, Lund University)
Year2019
Volume11
Issue1
Publication date2019-10-23
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/wcc.621
OpenAlexW2981766497
LanguageEN
Citations received63
References cited65

Keeping global warming below 1.5°C is technically possible but is it politically feasible? Understanding political feasibility requires answering three questions: (a) “ Feasibility of what ?,” (b) “Feasibility when and where? , ” and (c) “Feasibility for whom? . ” In relation to the 1.5°C target, these questions translate into (a) identifying specific actions comprising the 1.5°C pathways; (b) assessing the economic and political costs of these actions in different socioeconomic and political contexts; and (c) assessing the economic and institutional capacity of relevant social actors to bear these costs. This view of political feasibility stresses costs and capacities in contrast to the prevailing focus on benefits and motivations which mistakes desirability for feasibility. The evidence on the political feasibility of required climate actions is not systematic, but clearly indicates that the costs of required actions are too high in relation to capacities to bear these costs in relevant contexts. In the future, costs may decline and capacities may increase which would reduce political constraints for at least some solutions. However, this is unlikely to happen in time to avoid a temperature overshoot. Further research should focus on exploring the “dynamic political feasibility space” constrained by costs and capacities in order to find more feasible pathways to climate stabilization. This article is categorized under: The Carbon Economy and Climate Mitigation > Decarbonizing Energy and/or Reducing Demand

Climate change · Economics · Environmental economics · Natural resource economics · Order (exchange · Overshoot (microwave communication · Political economy of climate change · Political science · Politics · Public economics · Socioeconomic status · Sociology · Climate Change and Geoengineering · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Computer Science · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance · Ecology · Finance

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Unique citing works63
Citations per year9
Citation span2019 - 2026 (8)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 61

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