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Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity

Attribution problems, risks, and opportunities

Bibliographic Data

ID12929560
AuthorsTom H Oliver (0000-0002-4169-7313, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, corresponding author), Michael D Morecroft (0000-0002-7978-5554, Natural England)
Year2014
Volume5
Issue3
Pages317-335
Publication date2014-02-12
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/wcc.271
OpenAlexW1708754533
LanguageEN
Citations received24
References cited170

Global change drivers are known to interact in their effects on biodiversity, but much research to date ignores this complexity. As a consequence, there are problems in the attribution of biodiversity change to different drivers and, therefore, our ability to manage habitats and landscapes appropriately. Few studies explicitly acknowledge and account for interactive (i.e., nonadditive) effects of land use and climate change on biodiversity. One reason is that the mechanisms by which drivers interact are poorly understood. We evaluate such mechanisms, including interactions between demographic parameters, evolutionary trade‐offs and synergies and threshold effects of population size and patch occupancy on population persistence. Other reasons for the lack of appropriate research are limited data availability and analytical issues in addressing interaction effects. We highlight the influence that attribution errors can have on biodiversity projections and discuss experimental designs and analytical tools suited to this challenge. Finally, we summarize the risks and opportunities provided by the existence of interaction effects. Risks include ineffective conservation management; but opportunities also arise, whereby the negative impacts of climate change on biodiversity can be reduced through appropriate land management as an adaptation measure. We hope that increasing the understanding of key mechanisms underlying interaction effects and discussing appropriate experimental and analytical designs for attribution will help researchers, policy makers, and conservation practitioners to better minimize risks and exploit opportunities provided by land use‐climate change interactions. This article is categorized under: Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Observed Ecological Changes

Attribution · Biodiversity · Biology · Climate change · Economics · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Exploit · Geography · Land use · Land use, land-use change and forestry · Natural resource economics · Occupancy · Population · Sociology · Computer Science · Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies · Environmental Science · Plant and animal studies · Psychology · Social Psychology · Species Distribution and Climate Change · Ecology

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Unique citing works24
Citations per year2.67
Citation span2017 - 2026 (10)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 23

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