Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Evidence for a scale invariant relationship between the incumbency advantage and the nationalization of US House elections 1866–2014

Bibliographic Data

ID13016554
AuthorsBrad L Leveck (0000-0002-7318-7182, University of California, Merced, corresponding author), Stephanie A Nail (University of California, Merced)
Year2016
Volume3
Issue4
Publication date2016-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueResearch & Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2053-1680 • E-ISSN: 2053-1680
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/2053168016683839
OpenAlexW2739459462
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited20

In a recent article, Jacobson examines the rise and fall of the incumbency advantage from 1952 to 2014. He shows that the incumbency advantage over this period rose as elections became more localized, and has fallen in recent decades as elections have become more nationalized. In this research note, we examine whether a similar relationship holds when we extend the time-series back to the end of the Civil War. Consistent with earlier work, we find that the scale of the incumbency advantage was much smaller in the period prior to 1952— approximately ranging between 0 and 4 points. However, despite this difference in scale, there remains a very similar negative correlation between the nationalization of elections and the incumbency advantage. We therefore speculate that the nationalization of elections diminishes the relative size of the incumbency advantage, but the overall size of that advantage may also be shaped by other factors, such as technology, institutional reforms, or changes in the media landscape

Cartography · Economics · Geography · Period (music · Physics · Political economy · Political science · Scale (ratio · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Media Influence and Politics

  • Do Quality Candidates and Incumbents Still Matter in the Partisan World? Comparing Trends and Relationship Between Candidate Differentials and Congressional Election Outcomes, 1900–2022

    C Algara, Byengseon Bae•Journal of Political Marketing•2024

  • The nationalization of school superintendent elections

    Open Access•Aaron C Weinschenk•Social Science Quarterly•2022

  • Nationalization and the Incumbency Advantage

    Open Access•Jamie L Carson, James Sievert et al.•Political Research Quarterly•2019

  • I’m Doing This for My Daughter

    Open Access•Sarah A Fulton, Kevin Arceneaux et al.•Women & Politics•2025

  • Congress, keystone of the Washington establishment

    Morris P Fiorina•Congress, keystone of the…•1977

  • Legislative Leviathan

    Open Access•Gary W Cox, Mathew D Mccubbins•Legislative Leviathan•2007

  • Money, Reputation, and Incumbency in U.S. House Elections, or Why Marginals Have Become More Expensive

    Open Access•Henry A Kim, Brad L Leveck•American Political Science Review•2013

  • Congress, The Electoral Connection

    Michael J Ross, David R Mayhew•The Western Political Quarterly•1975

  • The Incumbent in the Living Room

    Markus Prior•The Journal of Politics•2006

  • Nationalization and Partisan Realignment in Congressional Elections

    Open Access•Sadafumi Kawato•American Political Science Review•1987

  • Nationalization of the American Electorate

    Open Access•William Claggett, William H Flanigan et al.•American Political Science Review•1984

  • Constituents’ Responses to Congressional Roll‐Call Voting

    Open Access•Stephen Ansolabehere, Philip Edward Jones•American Journal of Political…•2010

  • Made in Congress? Testing the Electoral Implications of Party Ideological Brand Names

    Jonathan Woon, John Collins Pope et al.•The Journal of Politics•2008

  • It’s Nothing Personal

    Gary C Jacobson•The Journal of Politics•2015

  • Roll Calls, Party Labels, and Elections

    Open Access•Jane Mcintosh Snyder, James M Snyder et al.•Political Analysis•2003

  • Why Do Americans Love Their Congressmen so Much More than Their Congress

    Open Access•Glenn R Parker, Roger H Davidson et al.•Legislative Studies Quarterly•1979

  • Partisan Polarization and Congressional Accountability in House Elections

    Open Access•David R Jones•American Journal of Political…•2010

  • Estimating Incumbency Advantage without Bias

    Andrew Gelman, Gary King•American Journal of Political…•1990

  • Party Government and the “Cohesive Power of Public Plunder

    Open Access•Royce Carroll, Henry A Kim•American Journal of Political…•2010

  • The Electoral Costs of Party Loyalty in Congress

    Open Access•Jamie L Carson, Gregory Koger et al.•American Journal of Political…•2010

  • Old Voters, New Voters, and the Personal Vote

    Stephen Ansolabehere, Jane Mcintosh Snyder et al.•American Journal of Political…•2000

  • Candidate Quality, the Personal Vote, and the Incumbency Advantage in Congress

    Open Access•Jamie L Carson, Erik J Engstrom et al.•American Political Science Review•2007

  • Out of Step, Out of Office

    Open Access•Brandice Canes-Wrone, D Brady et al.•American Political Science Review•2002

Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,57
Citation span2019 - 2025 (7)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

Tools

Open DOISci-HubOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae