From Archives to Artifacts
A Forensic Analysis of Noisy Data
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 13100232 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Dwayne Woods (0000-0002-7033-794X, Purdue University West Lafayette, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 11 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 2-37 |
| Publication date | 2025-08-05 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Chinese Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2365-4252 • E-ISSN: 2365-4244 |
| Publisher | Springer Science+Business Media (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.1007/s41111-025-00309-y |
| OpenAlex | W4412993897 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 29 |
This paper presents a forensic analysis of a dataset used by Boix to argue that imperial legal emancipation contributed to the spread of Jewish national identity by establishing Zionist and Hebrew institutions. We demonstrate that, although the dataset is extensive, it is logically inconsistent, fragmented over time, and geographically incoherent. Despite claims of establishing cause-and-effect, the data’s structure prevents such conclusions. Using only the most organized variables in a simulation, we demonstrate that even sophisticated machine learning models cannot accurately find the pattern without creating false signals. The main point of this paper is simple: messy historical data that is layered, repetitive, and poorly organized cannot produce clear empirical results. This work adds to the growing field of quantitative history by providing both a critique and a practical guide for maintaining data quality in historical social science
Archaeology · Data science · Forensic science · Computational and Text Analysis Methods · Computer Science · Forensic and Genetic Research · Generative Adversarial Networks and Image Synthesis · History
Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models
Causality
Measurement error and the replication crisis
Collinearity
Manipulation Testing Based on Density Discontinuity
Inference and missing data
Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression-Discontinuity Designs
Manipulation of the running variable in the regression discontinuity design
Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error
Regression discontinuity designs
Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics
There is No Pearl in this Zionist Oyster
The use, abuse and omertà on the “noise” in the data
Statistical Models and Shoe Leather
Political Emancipation and Modern Jewish National Identity
Geographic Boundaries as Regression Discontinuities
The Statistics of Causal Inference
Lines of Demarcation
Phantom Counterfactuals
When Natural Experiments Are Neither Natural nor Experiments
| Citations per year | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2026 - 2026 (1) |
| Highly cited | No |