Retrospective voting in Georgia
Does the government’s past performance matter
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 13102452 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Giorgi Babunashvili (corresponding author) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Volume | 5 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 259-278 |
| Publication date | 2017-09-29 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Caucasus Survey (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2376-1199 • E-ISSN: 2376-1202 |
| Publisher | Taylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/23761199.2017.1378855 |
| OpenAlex | W2757721935 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 7 |
| References cited | 25 |
Voters are often assumed to be of tertiary importance in less than democratic contexts – the regime can manipulate, buy, or outright steal their votes goes the predominant logic. This article however shows that voters not only matter but engaged in retrospective voting in Georgia, a country with imperfect political competition, between 2008 and 2015. Analysis of two waves of nationally representative survey data from 2012 to 2015 supports the retrospective voting theory, with a positive relationship between voter support for the incumbent party and positive assessments of government policies related to socio-economic, democratization, and security issues. Citizens who assess government policies negatively are more prone to voting for opposition candidates or not voting at all compared to those who are more satisfied with the government’s performance in Georgia. Notably, these findings are very similar for two governments led by two very different parties in Georgia: the United National Movement (2008–2012) and Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia (since 2012). Hence, I conclude that disregarding voters’ preferences has negative consequences for the legitimation and survival of the incumbent
Democracy · Democratization · Disapproval voting · Economics · Government (linguistics · Opposition (politics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Survey data collection · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Local Government Finance and Decentralization · Political Conflict and Governance · Public Administration
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| Unique citing works | 7 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,78 |
| Citation span | 2017 - 2021 (5) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 7 |