Quantifying the climate response to extreme land cover changes in Europe with a regional model
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15544253 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Francesco Cherubini (0000-0002-7147-4292, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, corresponding author), Bo Huang (0000-0001-6073-432X, Norwegian University of Science and Technology), Xiangping Hu (0000-0003-3468-8248, Norwegian University of Science and Technology), Merja Tölle (Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen), Merja H Tölle (0000-0003-1958-2795), Anders Hammer Strømman (0000-0003-2987-5583, Norwegian University of Science and Technology) |
| Year | 2018 |
| Volume | 13 |
| Issue | 7 |
| Pages | 074002-074002 |
| Publication date | 2018-05-24 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aac794 |
| OpenAlex | W2803905365 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 8 |
| References cited | 62 |
Many future scenarios expect a key role for the land use sector to stabilize temperature rise to 2 °C or less. Changes in land cover can influence the climate system, and the extent and magnitude of the anthropogenic modifications at local and regional scales is still largely unexplored. In this study, we use the regional climate model COSMO-CLM v.4.8 to quantify the climate response to idealized extreme land cover changes in Europe. We simulate four idealized land use transitions involving abrupt conversion of today forestland to bare land or herbaceous vegetation, and conversion of today cropland to evergreen needle-leaf forest or deciduous broad-leaf forest. We find that deforestation to bare land and herbaceous vegetation causes an annual mean regional cooling of −0.06 ± 0.09 (mean ± standard deviation) and −0.13 ± 0.08, respectively. Afforestation to needle-leaf and broad-leaf forests leads to a mean warming of 0.15 ± 0.09 °C and 0.13 ± 0.09 °C, respectively. Precipitation declines after forest clearance and increases with afforestation, but the spatial variability is high. Temperature impacts are usually more significant in the grid cells affected by land cover change and show a clear latitudinal pattern and seasonal variability. The mean temperature response to deforestation turns from positive to negative between 50 and 55° latitude, and shows the strongest cooling in spring (>2 °C, high latitudes) but warming in summer (>1 °C), when the average number of hot days is increased. Afforestation has the major average warming impacts in winter, where the frequency of cold temperature extremes is reduced. Overall, biophysical effects from land cover changes shape European climate in different ways, and further developments can ultimately assist decision makers to modulate land management strategies at different scales in light of climate change mitigation and adaptation
Afforestation · Agroforestry · Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Deciduous · Deforestation (computer science · Evergreen · Geography · Global warming · Land cover · Land use · Latitude · Mean radiant temperature · Meteorology · Physical geography · Precipitation · Vegetation (pathology · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics · Tree-ring climate responses · Ecology · Geology
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Quantitative assessment of the potential benefits of global afforestation on ecosystem productivity
Spatiotemporal patterns of surface temperature response to forest harvesting in Europe
The biogeophysical impacts of land cover change on climate extremes in the Arctic and Boreal regions
Climate-relevant land cover composition and configuration trajectories in Europe
Anthropogenic land cover change impact on climate extremes during the 21st century
Land use change impacts on European heat and drought
Recent global land cover dynamics and implications for soil erosion and carbon losses from deforestation
Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply
Biophysical climate impacts of recent changes in global forest cover
Glc2000
The ERA‐Interim reanalysis
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate
Local cooling and warming effects of forests based on satellite observations
Combined climate and carbon-cycle effects of large-scale deforestation
Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets
Influence of dynamic vegetation on carbon-nitrogen cycle feedback in the Community Land Model (CLM4)
Are the impacts of land use on warming underestimated in climate policy
Is land surface processes representation a possible weak link in current Regional Climate Models
Biophysical effects on temperature and precipitation due to land cover change
Response of surface air temperature to small-scale land clearing across latitudes
Land use/land cover changes and climate
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways
| Unique citing works | 8 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,14 |
| Citation span | 2019 - 2026 (8) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 8 |