The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15544880 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Kirsten Zickfeld (0000-0001-8866-6541, Simon Fraser University, corresponding author), Tyler Herrington (0000-0002-5825-7832, Simon Fraser University) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 10 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 031001-031001 |
| Publication date | 2015-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/031001 |
| OpenAlex | W1969164087 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 15 |
| References cited | 11 |
In a recent letter, Ricke and Caldeira (2014 Environ. Res. Lett. 9 124002 ) estimated that the timing between an emission and the maximum temperature response is a decade on average. In their analysis, they took into account uncertainties about the carbon cycle, the rate of ocean heat uptake and the climate sensitivity but did not consider one important uncertainty: the size of the emission. Using simulations with an Earth System Model we show that the time lag between a carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emission pulse and the maximum warming increases for larger pulses. Our results suggest that as CO 2 accumulates in the atmosphere, the full warming effect of an emission may not be felt for several decades, if not centuries. Most of the warming, however, will emerge relatively quickly, implying that CO 2 emission cuts will not only benefit subsequent generations but also the generation implementing those cuts
Atmosphere (unit · Atmospheric sciences · Carbon cycle · Carbon dioxide · Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere · Carbon fibers · Climate change · Climatology · Ecosystem · Emission intensity · Global warming · Greenhouse gas · Lag · Maximum temperature · Meteorology · Physics · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Chemistry · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Environmental Science · Global Energy and Sustainability Research · Materials Science · Ecology · Geology · Oceanography
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| Unique citing works | 15 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,36 |
| Citation span | 2015 - 2024 (10) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 14 |