Assessment of groundwater well vulnerability to contamination through physics-informed machine learning
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15545543 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Mario Soriano (0000-0003-0499-9352, Yale University, corresponding author), Helen Siegel (0000-0002-3412-5851, Yale University), Nicholaus P Johnson (0000-0003-1346-3576, Yale University), Kristina M Gutchess (0000-0002-9745-5049, Yale University), Boya Xiong (0000-0002-7994-3508, University of Minnesota), Yunpo Li (0000-0002-1172-2741, Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Cassandra J Clark (0000-0002-5993-4540, Yale University), Desirée L Plata (0000-0003-0657-7735, Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Nicole C Deziel (0000-0002-5751-9191, Yale University), James E Saiers (0000-0002-0117-3347, Yale University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 16 |
| Issue | 8 |
| Pages | 084013-084013 |
| Publication date | 2021-07-02 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ac10e0 |
| OpenAlex | W3199344758 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 66 |
Contamination from anthropogenic activities is a long-standing challenge to the sustainability of groundwater resources. Physically based (PB) models are often used in groundwater risk assessments, but their application to large scale problems requiring high spatial resolution remains computationally intractable. Machine learning (ML) models have emerged as an alternative to PB models in the era of big data, but the necessary number of observations may be impractical to obtain when events are rare, such as episodic groundwater contamination incidents. The current study employs metamodeling, a hybrid approach that combines the strengths of PB and ML models while addressing their respective limitations, to evaluate groundwater well vulnerability to contamination from unconventional oil and gas development (UD). We illustrate the approach in northeastern Pennsylvania, where intensive natural gas production from the Marcellus Shale overlaps with local community dependence on shallow aquifers. Metamodels were trained to classify vulnerability from predictors readily computable in a geographic information system. The trained metamodels exhibited high accuracy (average out-of-bag classification error 60% were predicted to be in vulnerable locations, suggesting that future impacts are likely to occur with greater frequency if safeguards against contaminant releases are relaxed. Our results show that hybrid physics-informed ML offers a robust and scalable framework for assessing groundwater contamination risks
Aquifer · Contamination · Groundwater · Hydrology (agriculture · Vulnerability (computing · Water resource management · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Groundwater flow and contamination studies · Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods · Geology
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| Highly cited | No |
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