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Machine learning assisted hybrid models can improve streamflow simulation in diverse catchments across the conterminous US

Bibliographic Data

ID15548165
AuthorsGoutam Konapala (0000-0003-0225-9633, Oak Ridge National Laboratory), Shih‐Chieh Kao (0000-0002-3207-5328, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, corresponding author), Scott Painter (0000-0002-0901-6987, Oak Ridge National Laboratory), Scott L Painter, Dan Lu (0000-0002-3000-5094, Oak Ridge National Laboratory)
Year2020
Volume15
Issue10
Pages104022-104022
Publication date2020-07-24
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aba927
OpenAlexW3044346761
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited74

Incomplete representations of physical processes often lead to structural errors in process-based (PB) hydrologic models. Machine learning (ML) algorithms can reduce streamflow modeling errors but do not enforce physical consistency. As a result, ML algorithms may be unreliable if used to provide future hydroclimate projections where climates and land use patterns are outside the range of training data. Here we test hybrid models built by integrating PB model outputs with a ML algorithm known as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network on their ability to simulate streamflow in 531 catchments representing diverse conditions across the Conterminous United States. Model performance of hybrid models as measured by Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) improved relative to standalone PB and LSTM models. More importantly, hybrid models provide highest improvement in catchments where PB models fail completely (i.e., NSE < 0). However, all models performed poorly in catchments with extended low flow periods, suggesting need for additional research

Climatology · Consistency (knowledge bases · Drainage basin · Hydrological modelling · Hydrology (agriculture · Machine learning · Process (computing · Range (aeronautics · Streamflow · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Hydrological Forecasting Using AI · Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies · Artificial Intelligence · Geology

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Citations per year0.4
Citation span2021 - 2024 (4)
Highly citedNo

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