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Increasing agricultural risk to hydro-climatic extremes in India

Bibliographic Data

ID15545795
AuthorsTarul Sharma (0000-0002-9574-4170, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay), Vittal Hari (0000-0001-8754-0488, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research), Subhankar Karmakar (0000-0002-1132-1403, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, corresponding author), Subimal Ghosh (0000-0002-5722-1440, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay)
Year2019
Volume15
Issue3
Pages034010-034010
Publication date2019-12-19
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab63e1
OpenAlexW2996702355
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited40

Indian agriculture is globally well-documented to reflect the impacts of changing climate significantly. However, climate adaptation efforts are often hindered due to the inadequate assessment of coupled human-environment interactions. In this study, we propose a novel unified country-level framework to quantify the decadal agricultural risks derived from multiple hydro-meteorological exposures and adaptive consequences. We identify, for the first time, that rice and wheat risks have increased in the recent decade, with wheat at a twofold higher magnitude than rice. Increasing crops risk is found to be predominantly driven by the decreasing number of cultivators; in particular, the wheat risk is also attributed to increasing minimum temperatures during the crop growing season. We provide convincing evidence indicating that the hydro-climatic hazards related to precipitation extremes and droughts are specifically alarming the crops risk as compared to temperature extremes. These observation-based results highlight the sensitivity of India’s agriculture and the risk associated with multiple agro-ecological and climatic components. We recommend these findings to facilitate the informed planning of adaptive measures and ensure sustainable food security of the nation

Adaptation (eye · Adaptive capacity · Agriculture · Biology · Climate change · Climate extremes · Climatology · Economics · Food security · Geography · Meteorology · Natural resource economics · Precipitation · Risk assessment · Water resource management · Agricultural risk and resilience · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Environmental Science · Hydrology and Drought Analysis · Ecology

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,67
Citation span2020 - 2025 (6)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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