Drivers of future changes in East African precipitation
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15546277 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Niels Souverijns (0000-0003-4695-9754, KU Leuven, corresponding author), Wim Thiery (0000-0002-5183-6145, ETH Zurich), Matthias Demuzere (0000-0003-3237-4077, KU Leuven), Nicole Van Lipzig (0000-0003-2899-4046, KU Leuven), N P M van Lipzig |
| Year | 2016 |
| Volume | 11 |
| Issue | 11 |
| Pages | 114011-114011 |
| Publication date | 2016-11-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114011 |
| OpenAlex | W2549909509 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 8 |
| References cited | 53 |
Precipitation amounts over East Africa have been declining over the last decades. These changes and future climate change over the region are highly debated. This study analyzes drivers of future precipitation changes over East Africa by applying a classification of circulation patterns on 15 historical and future members of the COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment. Typical circulation types (CTs) are obtained. Under a high emission scenario, changes in the frequency of occurrence of these CTsattribute for23%of the total change in precipitation over East Africa by the end of the century. The remaining part (77%) is not related to East African synoptics, e.g. changes in moisture content, local/mesoscale feedbacks, and changes in moisture influx. These other effects comprise increases in precipitation close to the equator and the Somali region, while decreases are found over northwestern Ethiopia, the Sudan region and the lake areas
China · Climate change · Climatology · Downscaling · East Asia · Equator · Geography · Latitude · Mesoscale meteorology · Meteorology · Precipitation · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Precipitation Measurement and Analysis · Geology · Oceanography
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| Unique citing works | 8 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,89 |
| Citation span | 2017 - 2025 (9) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 8 |