Reliability of African climate prediction and attribution across timescales
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15547007 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Fraser C Lott (0000-0001-5184-4156, Met Office, corresponding author), Margaret Gordon (Met Office), Richard Graham (0000-0002-4889-9575, Met Office), Richard J Graham, Adam A Scaife (0000-0002-5189-7538, Met Office), Michael Vellinga (0000-0002-5720-0359, Met Office) |
| Year | 2014 |
| Volume | 9 |
| Issue | 10 |
| Pages | 104017-104017 |
| Publication date | 2014-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/9/10/104017 |
| OpenAlex | W1977770438 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 15 |
This study investigates the reliability of seasonal to multi-decadal climate simulations of the wet seasons of several key African regions. It is found that reliability varies across regions and seasons, and that simulations of precipitation are universally less reliable than simulations of temperature. Similar levels of reliability are found across all the timescales considered for most (but not all) region/season combinations. Reliability for temperatures increases on longer timescales, both due to the differences in the modelling systems for each timescale and, in part, due to the contribution from systematic climate warming. Though the use of reliability is well-established for forecasting, its meaning for attribution is less clear, and further work is underway to further clarify this
Attribution · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Geography · Meteorology · Physics · Precipitation · Reliability (semiconductor · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Hydrology and Drought Analysis · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Psychology · Geology
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,1 |
| Citation span | 2016 - 2016 (1) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |