Concurrent increases in wet and dry extremes projected in Texas and combined effects on groundwater
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15547204 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jin‐Ho Yoon (0000-0002-4939-8078, Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology, corresponding author), Shih‐Yu Wang (0000-0003-2009-2275), S-Y Simon Wang (Utah State University), Min‐Hui Lo (0000-0002-8653-143X, National Taiwan University), Min-Hui Lo, Wen-ying Wu, Wen‐Ying Wu (0000-0002-6534-5726, The University of Texas at Austin) |
| Year | 2018 |
| Volume | 13 |
| Issue | 5 |
| Pages | 054002-054002 |
| Publication date | 2018-03-26 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aab96b |
| OpenAlex | W2791248403 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 22 |
The US state of Texas has experienced consecutive flooding events since spring 2015 with devastating consequences, yet these happened only a few years after the record drought of 2011. Identifying the effect of climate variability on regional water cycle extremes, such as the predicted occurrence of La Nia in winter 2017-2018 and its association with drought in Texas, remains a challenge. The present analyses use large-ensemble simulations to project the future of water cycle extremes in Texas and assess their connection with the changing El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnection under global warming. Large-ensemble simulations indicate that both intense drought and excessive precipitation are projected to increase towards the middle of the 21st century, associated with a strengthened effect from ENSO. Despite the precipitation increase projected for the southern Great Plains, groundwater storage is likely to decrease in the long run with diminishing groundwater recharge; this is due to the concurrent increases and strengthening in drought offsetting the effect of added rains. This projection provides implications to short-term climate anomaly in the face of the La Nia and to long-term water resources planning
Anomaly (physics · Aquifer · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · El Niño Southern Oscillation · Flooding (psychology · Geography · Groundwater · Groundwater recharge · Hydrology (agriculture · Meteorology · Precipitation · Teleconnection · Water resources · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Geology
| Highly cited | No |
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