One extreme fire weather event determines the extent and frequency of wildland fires
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15548162 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Xianli Wang (0000-0001-9873-9767, University of Alberta, corresponding author), Tom Swystun (Natural Resources Canada), Jacqueline Oliver (0000-0001-9209-4304, University of Alberta), Mike Flannigan (0000-0002-9970-5363, University of Alberta) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 16 |
| Issue | 11 |
| Pages | 114031-114031 |
| Publication date | 2021-10-13 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2f64 |
| OpenAlex | W3206391209 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 46 |
Understanding climate change impacts on wildland fire activity has been constrained by the high uncertainty embedded in the prediction of fire size (FS), annual number of fires (ANF), and annual area burned (AAB). While there has been a sustained effort to make connections between fire weather and fire activity, most studies have focused on individual parameters instead of treating them as a connected group. This study explores the intrinsic relationships among the major parameters of fire activity and how they relate to fire-conducive weather conditions to determine optimal prediction models. We found maximum number of fire spread days and maximum FS best predict ANF and AAB, respectively. Assessing the robustness of these relationships across Canada’s ecozones showed they are stronger in the Cordillera than in the Shields and Plains and more universal for AAB than for ANF. We also found skewness of FS distributions may play an important role in relationship strength. These relationships provide a unique way to model future fire activities under changing climate conditions
Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climatology · Econometrics · Extreme weather · Geography · Meteorology · Robustness (evolution · Skewness · Environmental Science · Fire effects on ecosystems · Landslides and related hazards · Mathematics · Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics · Ecology · Geology
Increasing western US forest wildfire activity
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Adapt to more wildfire in western North American forests as climate changes
Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013
Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984–2011
Projected changes in daily fire spread across Canada over the next century
Projected changes in fire size from daily spread potential in Canada over the 21st century
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0.5 |
| Citation span | 2024 - 2024 (1) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |