The role of humidity in determining scenarios of perceived temperature extremes in Europe
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15548802 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Enrico Scoccimarro (0000-0001-7987-4744, CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, corresponding author), Pier Giuseppe Fogli (0000-0001-7997-6273, CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change), Silvio Gualdi (0000-0001-7777-8935, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Volume | 12 |
| Issue | 11 |
| Pages | 114029-114029 |
| Publication date | 2017-09-15 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cdd |
| OpenAlex | W2755179771 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 25 |
An increase of the 2 m temperature over Europe is expected within the current century. In order to consider health impacts, it is important to evaluate the combined effect of temperature and humidity on the human body. To achieve this, projections of a basic index-the humidex-representative of the perceived temperature, under different scenarios and periods, have been investigated. The simultaneous occurrence of observed extreme temperature events and perceived extreme temperature events is seldom found within the present climate, reinforcing the importance of investigating the combination of the two fields. A set of 10 km resolution regional climate simulations, provided within the EURO-CORDEX multi-model effort, demonstrates an ability in representing moderate to extreme events of perceived temperature over the present climate, and to be useful as a tool for quantifying future changes in geographical patterns of exposed areas over Europe. Following the RCP8.5 emission scenario, an expansion of the area subject to dangerous conditions is suggested from the middle of the current century, reaching 60 N. The most significant increase of perceived extreme temperature conditions is found comparing the 2066-2095 projections to the 1976-2005 period; bearing in mind that changes in relative humidity may either amplify or offset the health effects of temperature, a less pronounced projected reduction of relative humidity in the north-eastern part of Europe, associated with extreme humidex events, makes northern Europe the most prone region to an increase of moderate to extreme values of perceived temperature. This is in agreement with a pronounced projected specific humidity increase
Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Geography · Heat index · Humidity · Mean radiant temperature · Meteorology · Relative humidity · Representative Concentration Pathways · Air Quality and Health Impacts · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Geology
Relation between Elevated Ambient Temperature and Mortality
BlueHealth
Utilising green and bluespace to mitigate urban heat island intensity
Heat, Human Performance, and Occupational Health
The Lancet Countdown
Managing the health effects of climate change
Outdoor blue spaces, human health and well-being
Consistent geographical patterns of changes in high-impact European heatwaves
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Euro-Cordex
Climate Change, Human Rights, and Social Justice
The JRA-55 Reanalysis
RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions
| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,5 |
| Citation span | 2020 - 2024 (5) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |