Climate change to increase crop failure in U.S
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15550604 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Seung Min Kim (0000-0002-4384-9640, Yale University), Rebecca Mendelsohn (0000-0002-3650-6201, Yale University, corresponding author), Robert Mendelsohn |
| Year | 2022 |
| Volume | 18 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 014014-014014 |
| Publication date | 2022-12-16 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/acac41 |
| OpenAlex | W4313528159 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 29 |
The literature has documented that climate change is likely to reduce crop yields of harvested acres in the United States. This study uses panel data methods to document that climate change could also reduce harvested area. We find that ‘crop failures’ are sensitive to spring and fall temperature conditions. Using perturbations of temperature and precipitation conditions, we show that a uniform 1 ∘ C increase in temperature across the U.S. with no adaptation is expected to cause about 3.2 million additional failed acres in the United States, which is equal to a 0.9% decline in acreage. These harmful impacts are predicted to be stronger in the southern than northern United States. For illustrative purposes, we also examine a uniform 3 ∘ C warming scenario with no adaptation, and project that damage increases to 11 million lost acres, about a 3% decrease in crop acreage. Projected increases in local precipitation have little effect. The effect of crop failure must be added to previously measured reductions in crop yields from harvested acres, implying climate change is likely to be more harmful to American crop production than previously thought
Agriculture · Agroforestry · Agronomy · Biology · Climate change · Climatology · Crop · Crop loss · Crop production · Crop yield · Geography · Meteorology · Precipitation · Agricultural Economics and Policy · Agricultural risk and resilience · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Environmental Science · Ecology · Forestry · Geology
Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to U.S. crop yields under climate change
Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modelling
The Economic Impacts of Climate Change
Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980
Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates
Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production
Increased crop failure due to climate change
Increasing risks of crop failure and water scarcity in global breadbaskets by 2030
Crop harvested area, not yield, drives variability in crop production in Iran
Comparing and combining process-based crop models and statistical models with some implications for climate change
Negative impacts of climate change on cereal yields
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1 |
| Citation span | 2025 - 2025 (1) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |