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Can fertility decline help explain gender pay convergence

Bibliographic Data

ID19005671
AuthorsAlexandra Killewald (0000-0003-1779-2537, University of Michigan , Ann Arbor, MI ,, corresponding author), Nino José Cricco (0000-0003-4778-4589, Harvard University , Cambridge, MA ,)
Year2024
Volume103
Issue4
Pages1329-1349
Publication date2024-10-14
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocial Forces (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0037-7732 • E-ISSN: 1534-7605
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/sf/soae153
PMID40226295
OpenAlexW4403970977
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited40

Prior scholarship demonstrates that motherhood wage penalties and fatherhood wage premiums contribute to the gender pay gap. These analyses typically take a cross-sectional perspective, asking to what extent gender inequalities in the association between parenthood and wages can explain gender pay inequality for a given cohort or at a given moment in time. By contrast, explorations of gender pay convergence over time have tended to start at the firm's door, testing the explanatory power of changes in men's and women's human capital and job characteristics and neglecting the contributions of fertility change. We bring these two strands of research together, asking to what extent declines 1980-2018 in US employees' number of children can explain gender pay convergence over the same period. Using a descriptive decomposition and data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we show that, in gross terms, fertility decline can explain almost one-quarter of gender pay convergence from 1980 to 2018. Even net of a host of controls for human capital and job characteristics, fertility decline explains 8 percent of the attenuation of the US gender pay gap 1980-2018-about half as much as changes in education and about a quarter as much as changes in full-time work experience and job tenure combined. Finally, we show that employees' fertility decline was fastest in the 1980s and subsequently slowed; this, in conjunction with persistent gender differences in parenthood-wage associations, helps explain stalled progress toward gender pay parity

Convergence (economics) · Demographic economics · Economic growth · Economics · Fertility · Labour economics · Population · Sociology · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year3
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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