Unreliable trains and induced rescheduling

Implications for cost-benefit analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID19337480
AuthorsYin-Yen Tseng, Yin‐Yen Tseng (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, corresponding author), Piet Rietveld (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam), Erik T Verhoef (0000-0002-0850-5826, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)
Year2012
Volume39
Issue2
Pages387-407
Publication date2012-03-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueTransportation (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0049-4488 • E-ISSN: 1572-9435
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1007/s11116-011-9345-x
OpenAlexW2047492871
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited8

This paper is concerned with the assessment of generalized user cost reductions in the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of transport policies that aim at reducing unreliability. In particular, we investigate the implications of railway passengers’ anticipating departure behavior when train services were unreliable. A simple model is established to describe and predict such anticipating behavior. Our numerical example shows how travelers’ anticipating departures and scheduling costs depend on the level of unreliability. The possible bias incurred by ignoring the reliability and schedule delay costs reductions in the traditional CBA can be quite substantial. Given our assumptions and parameterization, the underestimation of ignoring these costs could range from 33 to 75% of total generalized user cost reductions

Econometrics · Economics · Operations management · Operations research · Range (aeronautics) · Reliability (semiconductor) · Reliability engineering · Schedule · Scheduling (production processes) · Train · Transport engineering · Aviation Industry Analysis and Trends · Computer Science · Engineering · Transportation Planning and Optimization · Urban Transport and Accessibility

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