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Forecasting bus ridership using a “Blended Approach”

Bibliographic Data

ID19338289
AuthorsCatherine T Lawson (0000-0003-4169-2069, Albany State University, corresponding author), Alex Muro (Albany State University), Eric Krans (Albany State University)
Year2021
Volume48
Issue2
Pages617-641
Publication date2021-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueTransportation (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0049-4488 • E-ISSN: 1572-9435
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1007/s11116-019-10073-z
OpenAlexW2992590900
LanguageEN
References cited13

As sources of “Big Data” continue to grow, transportation planners and researchers seek to utilize these new resources. Given the current dependency on traditional transportation data sources and conventional tools (e.g., spreadsheets and propriety models), how can these new resources be used? This research examines a “blended data” approach, using a web-based, open source platform to assist transit agencies to forecast bus ridership. The platform is capable of incorporating new Big Data sources and traditional data sources, using modern processing techniques and tools, particularly Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). This research demonstrates the use of APIs in a transit demand methodology that yields a robust model for bus ridership. The approach uses the Census Transportation Planning Products data, modified with American Community Survey data, to generate origin–destination tables for bus trips in a designated market area. Microsimulation models us a transit scheduling specification (General Transit Feed Specification) and an open source routing engine (OpenTripPlanner). Local farebox data validates the microsimulation models. Analyses of model output and farebox data for the Atlantic City transit market area, and a scenario analysis of service reduction in the Princeton/Trenton transit market area, illustrate the use a “blended approach” for bus ridership forecasting

Big data · Data mining · Microsimulation · Public transport · Scheduling (production processes) · Transit (satellite) · Transport engineering · Transportation planning · TRIPS architecture · Computer Science · Engineering · Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis · Transportation Planning and Optimization · Urban Transport and Accessibility

  • A geographically and temporally weighted regression model to explore the spatiotemporal influence of built environment on transit ridership

    Open Access•Xiaolei Ma, Jiyu Zhang et al.•Computers Environment and Urban…•2018

  • Evaluating public transit services for operational efficiency and access equity

    Open Access•Ran Wei, Xiaoyue Liu et al.•Journal of Transport Geography•2017

  • Assessing public transit service equity using route-level accessibility measures and public data

    Open Access•Alex Karner•Journal of Transport Geography•2018

  • What Really Matters for Increasing Transit Ridership

    Open Access•Gregory Thompson, Gregory L Thompson et al.•Urban Studies•2012

  • Understanding Transit Ridership Demand for the Multidestination, Multimodal Transit Network in Atlanta, Georgia

    Open Access•Jeffrey Brown, Gregory Thompson et al.•Urban Studies•2014

Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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