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Forecasting Replacement Demand of Durable Goods and the Induced Secondary Material Flows

A Case Study of Automobiles

Bibliographic Data

ID19469413
AuthorsShigemi Kagawa (0000-0003-3936-4103, Kyushu University, corresponding author), Shinichiro Nakamura (0000-0001-6809-5008, Waseda University), Yasushi Kondo (0000-0002-6855-2691, Waseda University), Kazuyo Matsubae (0000-0002-3816-3898), Tetsuya Nagasaka (0000-0001-6846-2306, Institute of Metallurgy)
Year2015
Volume19
Issue1
Pages10-19
Publication date2015-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Industrial Ecology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1088-1980 • E-ISSN: 1530-9290
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/jiec.12184
OpenAlexW1532803176
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited20

The aim of this article is to propose a method for forecasting future secondary material flows by combining a product lifetime distribution analysis with a waste input‐output analysis and present a simple case study of automobiles. The case study demonstrates that the proposed method enables us to estimate replacement demand of new vehicles, number of end‐of‐life (EOL) vehicles arising from the aging of vehicles, volume of shredder scraps recovered from EOL vehicles, and volume of shredder scraps required to meet final consumption in the future

Business · Durable good · Economics · Environmental economics · Industrial ecology · Material flow analysis · Microeconomics · Operations management · Sustainability · Waste management · Computer Science · Engineering · Environmental Impact and Sustainability · Environmental Science · Extraction and Separation Processes · Mathematics · Recycling and Waste Management Techniques

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,18
Citation span2015 - 2015 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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