For those condemned to study the past
Heuristics and biases in hindsight
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 20054904 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Baruch Fischhoff (0000-0002-3030-6874, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1982 |
| Pages | 335-352 |
| Publication date | 1982-04-30 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | CHAPTER |
| Venue | Judgment under uncertainty (SOURCE_BOOK) |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1017/cbo9780511809477.024 |
| OpenAlex | W64637189 |
| ISBN | 9780511809477 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 48 |
Benson (1972) has identified four reasons for studying the past: to entertain, to create a group (or national) identity, to reveal the extent of human possibility, and to develop systematic knowledge about our world, knowledge that may eventually improve our ability to predict and control. On a conscious level, at least, we behavioral scientists restrict ourselves to the last motive. In its pursuit, we do case studies, program evaluations, and literature reviews. We even conduct experiments, creating artificial histories upon which we can perform our postmortems
Aesthetics · Art · Control (management) · Epistemology · Heuristics · Hindsight bias · Identity (music) · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Language and cultural evolution · Philosophy · Psychology · Social Psychology
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The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence
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Individual differences in reasoning
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Metacognitive Experiences in Consumer Judgment and Decision Making
Support theory
The hot hand in basketball
Hindsight Bias
Retrospective reports of strategic‐level managers
Representativeness Revisited
A Systems Approach to Investigating Child Abuse Deaths
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The Illusion-of-Transparency and Episodic Memory
Four archetypes of organizing corporate foresight at the intermediate maturity stage
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Individual differences in reverse Hindsight bias
Perceptions of non-accidental child deaths as preventable events
Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation
The Affect Heuristic
Mental simulation of causality
Ambiguity and self-evaluation
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Inter‐German relations in historical perspective
| Unique citing works | 48 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,12 |
| Citation span | 1983 - 2025 (43) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 35 |