Improving Analysis
Dealing with Information Processing Errors
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 20185259 |
|---|---|
| Authors | R Scott Rodgers (corresponding author) |
| Year | 2006 |
| Volume | 19 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 622-641 |
| Publication date | 2006-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0885-0607 • E-ISSN: 1521-0561 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/08850600600829858 |
| OpenAlex | W2170484764 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 21 |
Intelligence analysts and mental health clinicians have some aspects of their respective crafts in common. In many cases both have to make predictions about future behavior. Findings from the clinical literature were used to make the point that humans, in general, are not particularly skilled at combining various pieces of information in order to make predictions, and by extension, intelligence analysts suffer the same fate. Understanding the problems involved in information processing can help us develop methods and tools to assist in mitigating three broad cognitive errors: (a) the tendency to see patterns where none exist, (b) the tendency to seek confirmatory evidence, and (c) the use of preconceived biases
Aeronautics · Information Warfare · Management · Military Base · Operations research · Political science · Engineering · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy · Law · Psychological Testing and Assessment · Public Administration
Clinical versus statistical prediction
Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment
Under what conditions does theory obstruct research progress?
Tests
When prophecy bends
Mood and memory
The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making
Clinical and statistical prediction
The politics of clinical judgment
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,06 |
| Citation span | 2008 - 2008 (1) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |