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The Prediction of Predictability Revisited

Differential Predictability Applied to Managerial Selection

Bibliographic Data

ID20281984
AuthorsAndrew J Vinchur (0000-0002-9895-4157, Lafayette College, corresponding author)
Year1993
Volume53
Issue4
Pages1085-1094
Publication date1993-12-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEducational and Psychological Measurement (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-1644 • E-ISSN: 1552-3888
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/0013164493053004021
OpenAlexW2044409761
LanguageEN
References cited11

Ghiselli's (1956) differential predictability procedure was applied to individual managerial assessment. Candidates for managerial positions (N = 452) were administered a battery of tests as part of the individual assessment selection procedure. This sample was divided into two equal-size groups; a Derivation Group and a Cross-Validation Group. The criterion was the candidate's organizational level; the predictor was a measure of cognitive ability provided by scores on the Adaptability Test. Need for Financial Reward, a subscale of the Self-Description Inventory, was identified as a moderator in the Derivation Group, however, sub grouping chi-square analyses and moderated multiple regression failed to corroborate this finding. Dependent on the selection ratio, use of the moderator was shown to have some limited utility in the Cross-Validation Group, however, its accuracy did not exceed that obtained through use of regression analysis

Adaptability · Correlation · Differential (mechanical device) · Econometrics · Economics · Moderation · Predictability · Regression · Regression analysis · Selection (genetic algorithm) · Statistics · Test (biology) · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Mathematics · Motivation and Self-Concept in Sports · Psychology · Social Psychology

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