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A macroeconomic analysis of agricultural terms of trade in Turkey, 1952–90

Bibliographic Data

ID20304149
AuthorsCihan Bilginsoy (University of Utah, corresponding author)
Year1997
Volume33
Issue6
Pages797-819
Publication date1997-08-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Journal of Development Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0388 • E-ISSN: 1743-9140
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00220389708422496
OpenAlexW2039844347
LanguageEN
References cited14

A two‐sector model of terms of trade (TOT) determination is developed and tested using time‐series data for Turkey. Empirical results support the structuralist ‘flex‐price agriculture fix‐price industry’ models. TOT is found to be sensitive to changes in nominal demand and the exchange rate. Rising nominal demand turns the TOT in favour of the agricultural sector provided that there are no supply constraints in the industrial sector. If industrial supply is constrained by import bottlenecks, then aggregate demand expansion turns the TOT in favour of the industrial sector. Devaluation turns the TOT against the agricultural sector primarily via the cost‐push factors in the industrial sector

Agriculture · Economics · Geography · International economics · International trade · Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets · Global Trade and Competitiveness · Global trade and economics

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Highly citedNo

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