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Methods for addressing climate change uncertainties in project environmental impact assessments

Bibliographic Data

ID21153601
AuthorsPhilip H Byer (University of Toronto), Julian Scott Yeomans (0000-0001-7361-4060, York University)
Year2007
Volume25
Issue2
Pages85-99
Publication date2007-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueImpact Assessment and Project Appraisal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1461-5517 • E-ISSN: 1471-5465
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.3152/146155107x205841
OpenAlexW1980728239
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited7

Climate change has important implications for assessing impacts of many types of project. If climate change is to be included in environmental assessments, then proponents must be able to incorporate its impacts and inherent uncertainties effectively into their analysis; many proponents do not possess sufficient grounding in how to accomplish this task successfully. In this paper, three basic analytical approaches to uncertainty analysis — scenario analysis, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic analysis — are presented that proponents could use for integrating climate change induced impacts and their uncertainties into their environmental assessments, together with a framework for judging the circumstances that determine which method would be applicable. The use of these three approaches is illustrated on the environmental impacts of a run-of-the-river hydroelectric project

Business · Climate change · Environmental impact assessment · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Hydroelectricity · Political science · Probabilistic logic · Systems engineering · Uncertainty analysis · Computer Science · Engineering · Environmental and Social Impact Assessments · Environmental Science · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance · Water resources management and optimization

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  • Climate change 2001

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Unique citing works9
Citations per year0,53
Citation span2009 - 2025 (17)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 9

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