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False Polarization and False Moderation

Political Opponents Overestimate the Extremity of Each Other’s Ideologies but Underestimate Each Other’s Certainty

Bibliographic Data

ID21208438
AuthorsCraig W Blatz (MacEwan University, corresponding author), Brett Mercier (0000-0003-3731-8752, University of California, Irvine)
Year2018
Volume9
Issue5
Pages521-529
Publication date2018-07-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocial Psychological and Personality Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1948-5506 • E-ISSN: 1948-5514
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/1948550617712034
OpenAlexW2684965817
LanguageEN
Citations received12
References cited14

Past research finds that people hold moderate views on political issues while believing others are extreme. This false polarization has been demonstrated across a variety of different attitude dimensions and is explained by naive realism, the belief that one holds an unbiased view of reality. We argue that because people believe they see the world objectively, they should be very certain about their opinions, more certain than others expect. In three studies, we tested this false moderation of attitude certainty hypothesis and attempted to replicate past research on false polarization of attitude stance and perceived ideology of others. All three studies revealed a false moderation effect on judgements of certainty. Additionally, we replicate the finding that people false polarize others’ ideology but do not find evidence for false polarization of specific stance

Certainty · Epistemology · Ideology · Moderation · Political science · Politics · Realism · Replicate · Cultural Differences and Values · Law · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Psychology · Social and Intergroup Psychology · Social Psychology

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Citations per year2
Citation span2020 - 2025 (6)
Highly citedNo

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