Do credences model guesses
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 21364281 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Sophie Horowitz (0000-0001-9646-9230, UMass Amherst Amherst USA, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 59 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 409-424 |
| Publication date | 2025-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Noûs (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0029-4624 • E-ISSN: 1468-0068 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/nous.12519 |
| OpenAlex | W4400477437 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 25 |
What are credences? Where do the numbers come from? Some have argued that they are brute and primitive; others, that they model our dispositions to bet, our comparative confidence judgments, or our all‐out beliefs. This paper explores a new answer to this question: credences model our dispositions to guess. I argue that we can think of credences this way, and then consider: should we
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |