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Model-free and model-based connectedness in highly, medium and lowly correlated financial returns

Analyses of OECD inflations

Bibliographic Data

ID21377569
AuthorsLuis A Gil-Alana (0000-0002-5760-3123, Universidad Francisco de Vitoria, corresponding author), Olaoluwa S Yaya (0000-0002-7554-3507, University of Ibadan), Oluwaseun A Adesina (0000-0001-6952-3991, Ladoke Akintola University of Technology), Xuan Vinh Vo (0000-0002-4725-6914, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City)
Year2025
Volume59
Issue2
Pages1807-1832
Publication date2025-04-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueQuality & Quantity (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0033-5177 • E-ISSN: 1573-7845
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1007/s11135-024-02038-x
OpenAlexW4405803452
LanguageEN
References cited34

This paper deals with the analysis of inflation in financial returns by using model-free connectedness framework which includes investigating persistence in the series and data from 22 countries from April 1958 to November 2023 which are grouped into highly, medium and lowly correlated returns. The results indicate that 10 countries, among the members of G12 are listed among highly-medium correlated inflation returns. The G7 countries are listed with high-medium inflation returns, of which France, Germany, Italy, and the USA are net shock transmitters, while Canada, Japan and the UK are net shock receivers. Total connectedness indices are positively related to the correlations, and the connectedness is found to increase astronomically towards late 2020 due to economic and financial market integration. Global financial crisis such as that of 2007–2009 and the COVID-19 pandemic have reset the integration of economic variables again. A policy recommendation is therefore given at the end

Econometrics · Economics · Financial economics · Monetary economics · Social connectedness · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Psychology · Social Psychology

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