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Changes in criminal thinking from midadolescence to early adulthood

Does trajectory direction matter

Bibliographic Data

ID21454981
AuthorsGlenn D Walters (0000-0002-7219-1542, corresponding author)
Year2022
Volume46
Issue2
Pages154-163
Publication date2022-04-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueLaw and Human Behavior (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0147-7307 • E-ISSN: 1573-661X
PublisherAmerican Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1037/lhb0000468
PMID35084907
OpenAlexW4210345571
LanguageEN
Citations received3

OBJECTIVE: Although there is evidence of a strong age-crime relationship, there is little consensus as to why crime peaks in midadolescence and drops off in late adolescence or early adulthood, and there is virtually no information on how age interacts with other crime-related variables such as criminal thinking. The purpose of this study was to document changes in the age-criminal thinking relationship from midadolescence to early adulthood and determine whether these changes were capable of predicting future offending behavior. HYPOTHESES: It was hypothesized that (a) criminal thinking, measured with a moral disengagement scale, would gradually decelerate as offending youth progressed from midadolescence to early adulthood; (b) downward-sloping trajectories obtained from a growth mixture modeling (GMM) analysis would predominate over upward-sloping and stable trajectories, and (c) the direction of a trajectory (upward or downward sloping) would have as much impact on future offending as the overall magnitude of moral disengagement. METHOD: These three hypotheses were tested in a group of 1,273 (1,093 male, 180 female) serious juvenile offenders from the Pathways to Desistance study who completed a moral disengagement scale annually between the ages of 16 and 22. The data were then subjected to trend analysis, GMM, and an analysis of covariance whereby trajectory class membership served to predict future offending. RESULTS: Scores on the moral disengagement scale dropped gradually from age 16 to 22, GMM identified four latent classes, 93.6% of the sample fell into one of two decelerating trajectory patterns, and trajectory direction was at least as important as trajectory magnitude in predicting future offending. CONCLUSIONS: Trajectory direction appears to be as important as magnitude in evaluating the clinical significance of changes in criminal thinking during mid to late adolescence. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved)

Developmental psychology · Disengagement theory · Juvenile delinquency · Latent growth modeling · Scale (ratio) · Trajectory · Child Abuse and Trauma · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Psychology · Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending · Social Psychology

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    Open Access•Justin Jabar Joseph•Crime & Delinquency•2026

  • Peer‐Aggression Victimization and Perpetration in Middle School Youth

    Open Access•Glenn D Walters, Lindsey Runell et al.•Aggressive Behavior•2025

Citations per year1
Citation span2023 - 2026 (4)
Highly citedNo

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