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Are Traffic Studies “Junk Science” That Don’t Belong in Court

Bibliographic Data

ID21476568
AuthorsKristina Currans (0000-0001-6522-0758), Kenneth A Stahl
Year2024
Volume90
Issue1
Pages77-85
Publication date2024-01-02
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of the American Planning Association (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0194-4363 • E-ISSN: 1939-0130
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/01944363.2022.2136735
OpenAlexW4319919535
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited15

Jurisdictions rely heavily on traffic impact analyses (TIAs) to predict the traffic impacts of projects and calibrate appropriate mitigations. But TIAs are also litigation tools: Jurisdictions use them to satisfy courts that their land use decisions are supported by substantial evidence, or evidence that is credible and reliable. The problem, as we discuss in this Viewpoint, is that TIAs are not consistently credible and reliable. We explore some common criticisms—and provide a brief overview of a growing literature—regarding underlying vehicle estimation methods in practice that demonstrates the ways in which TIAs are widely flawed. Historically, courts have not expected much from TIAs, but our analysis shows a tipping point in which courts may begin to question whether conventional TIA methods constitute substantial evidence, suggesting an important need to innovate and adopt new data and methods in practice

Actuarial science · Economics · Law and economics · Computer Science · Economic and Environmental Valuation · Mathematics · Traffic and Road Safety · Urban Transport and Accessibility

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Citations per year0.5
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Highly citedNo

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