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Threshold Expectile Regressions With an Unknown Threshold for Dependent Data

Bibliographic Data

ID21512723
AuthorsFeipeng Zhang (0000-0002-8110-5837, School of Economics and Finance Xi'an Jiaotong University Xi'an China), Yundong Tu (0000-0002-2556-3614, Guanghua School of Management Peking University Beijing China, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume87
Issue4
Pages815-836
Publication date2025-08-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0305-9049 • E-ISSN: 1468-0084
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/obes.12655
OpenAlexW4406825454
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited53

This article introduces a threshold expectile regression model with an unknown threshold for dependent data, which enables simple characterization of nonlinearity and heteroscedasticity in economic and financial applications. Profile estimation is proposed for the unknown parameters, and a sup‐Wald test is developed to test the existence of the threshold effect at a fixed expectile level. Inference issues across multiple expectile levels are further considered, with a likelihood‐ratio‐type test designed to check for the presence of a common threshold value. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate the nice finite sample performance of the proposed inference procedures. Finally, an empirical application demonstrates that the debt‐to‐GDP ratio has a heterogeneous threshold effect on the U.S. growth rate across the growth distribution

Econometrics · Economics · Statistics · Threshold model · Advanced Statistical Methods and Models · Environmental Science · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Mathematics · Statistical Methods and Inference

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Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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