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Nearly Unbiased Estimation of Autoregressive Models for Bounded Near‐Integrated Stochastic Processes

Bibliographic Data

ID21512896
AuthorsJosep Lluís Carrion‐i‐Silvestre (0000-0003-2733-7677, AQR‐IREA Department of Econometrics, Statistics, and Applied Economics University of Barcelona Av. Diagonal 690 Barcelona 08034 Spain, corresponding author), María Dolores Gadea (Department of Applied Economics University of Zaragoza Gran Vía 4 Zaragoza 50005 Spain), María Dolores Gadea Rivas (0000-0001-6609-4247, Universidad de Zaragoza, corresponding author), Agustina Montañés (0000-0002-5872-631X, Department of Economic Analysis University of Zaragoza Gran Vía 4 Zaragoza 50005 Spain, corresponding author), Antonio Montañés (Department of Economic Analysis University of Zaragoza Gran Vía 4 Zaragoza 50005 Spain)
Year2021
Volume83
Issue1
Pages273-297
Publication date2021-02-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0305-9049 • E-ISSN: 1468-0084
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/obes.12399
OpenAlexW3084403748
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited24

The paper investigates the estimation bias of autoregressive models for bounded near‐integrated stochastic processes and the performance of the standard procedures in the literature that aim to correct the estimation bias. In some cases, the bounded nature of the stochastic processes worsens the estimation bias effect. The paper extends two popular autoregressive estimation bias correction procedures to cover bounded stochastic processes. Monte Carlo simulations reveal that accounting for the bounded nature of the stochastic processes leads to improvements in the estimation of autoregressive models. Finally, an illustration is given using the unemployment rate of the G7 countries

Autoregressive integrated moving average · Autoregressive model · Bounded function · Econometrics · Economics · Estimation · Monte Carlo method · Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model · SETAR · STAR model · Statistics · Stochastic process · Stochastic volatility · Time series · Computer Science · Efficiency Analysis Using DEA · Mathematics · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Statistical Methods and Inference · Applied Mathematics

  • Detecting Multiple Level Shifts in Bounded Time Series

    Josep Lluís Carrion‐i‐Silvestre, Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre et al.•Journal of Business and Economic…•2024

  • LAG Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power

    Open Access•Serena Ng, Pierre Perron•Econometrica•2001

  • Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series

    Open Access•Charles R Nelson, Charles R Plosser•Journal of Monetary Economics•1982

  • Testing for a unit root in time series regression

    Peter C B Phillips, Pierre Perron•Biometrika•1988

  • Autocorrelation Effects on Least-Squares Intervention Analysis of Short Time Series

    Open Access•Bradley E Huitema, Joseph W McKean et al.•Educational and Psychological…•1999

  • Confidence Intervals for Half-Life Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity

    Barbara Rossi•Journal of Business and Economic…•2005

  • Testing for Shifts in Trend With an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component

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  • Estimation for Autoregressive Time Series With a Root Near 1

    Anindya Roy, Wayne A Fuller•Journal of Business and Economic…•2001

  • Small-sample Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions

    Lutz Kilian•The Review of Economics and…•1998

  • The Grid Bootstrap and the Autoregressive Model

    Bruce E Hansen•The Review of Economics and…•1999

Citations per year0.5
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Highly citedNo

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