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Measuring Growth Spillovers

Bibliographic Data

ID21512972
AuthorsFrancisco Blasques (0000-0001-5035-1990, Tinbergen Institute), P Gorgi (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands), Siem Jan Koopman (0000-0002-4440-9524, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands, corresponding author), James Sampi (0000-0002-4451-0294, World Bank)
Year2026
Volume88
Issue2
Pages213-225
Publication date2026-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0305-9049 • E-ISSN: 1468-0084
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/obes.70013
OpenAlexW4413866783
LanguageEN
References cited33

We propose a multilevel econometric model with time‐varying spillover parameters that disentangle within‐country from between‐country growth spillovers. Parameter estimation is carried out by the method of maximum likelihood. The finite‐sample properties of the resulting estimates are validated through a Monte Carlo study. We illustrate the model properties in an empirical application for six Latin American countries. The results show that our multilevel framework outperforms a benchmark model without the multilevel data structure. Specifically, the benchmark model tends to underestimate the spillover parameter compared to our multilevel approach. Also, the between‐country spillover is subject to cyclical dynamics, varying from negative to positive values, and suggests that growth in partner countries can either accelerate or decelerate their domestic growth. In contrast, all within‐country spillovers are positive and can be regarded as growth multipliers that reinforce internal economic dynamics within each country

Econometrics · Economics · Economic Policies and Impacts · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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