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Heterogeneous autoregressions in short T panel data models

Bibliographic Data

ID21653574
AuthorsM Hashem Pesaran (0000-0001-5936-363X, Department of Economics University of Southern California Los Angeles California USA), Liying Yang (0000-0001-9211-0685, University of British Columbia, corresponding author), L T Yang (0000-0002-4570-8243, Sauder School of Business University of British Columbia Vancouver British Columbia Canada)
Year2024
Volume39
Issue7
Pages1359-1378
Publication date2024-11-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Applied Econometrics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1099-1255 • E-ISSN: 0883-7252
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/jae.3085
OpenAlexW4401467573
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited35

This paper considers a first‐order autoregressive (AR) panel data model with individual‐specific effects and heterogeneous AR coefficients defined on the interval , thus allowing for some of the individual processes to have unit roots. It proposes estimators for the moments of the cross‐sectional distribution of the AR coefficients, assuming a random coefficient model for the AR coefficients without imposing any restrictions on the fixed effects. It is shown that the standard generalized method of moments estimators obtained under homogeneous slopes are biased. Small sample properties of the proposed estimators are investigated by Monte Carlo experiments and compared with a number of alternatives, both under homogeneous and heterogeneous slopes. It is found that a simple moment estimator of the mean of heterogeneous AR coefficients performs very well even for moderate sample sizes, but to reliably estimate the variance of AR coefficients, much larger samples are required. It is also required that the true value of this variance is not too close to zero. The utility of the heterogeneous approach is illustrated in the context of earnings dynamics

Autoregressive model · Econometrics · Economics · Estimator · Monte Carlo method · Panel data · Statistics · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Housing Market and Economics · Mathematics · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis · Applied Mathematics

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Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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