Does climate change influence state fragility? Evidence for the countries of sub-Saharan Africa

Bibliographic Data

ID21691065
AuthorsHenri Aurélien Ateba Boyomo (0000-0003-1494-1795, Economics and Management Research Center, University of Yaoundé II, corresponding author), Lucien Armel Awah Manga (0000-0002-2934-9041, Economics and Management Research Center, University of Yaoundé II), Henri Atangana Ondoa (0000-0001-8411-7676, Economics and Management Research Center, University of Yaoundé II)
Year2025
Volume30
Issue5
Pages379-401
Publication date2025-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironment and Development Economics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1355-770X • E-ISSN: 1469-4395
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1355770x25000087
OpenAlexW4408771841
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited68

The aim of this paper is to analyse the role of climate change on state fragility in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). To do this, we estimate a country-time fixed effects panel data model using the two-way fixed effects estimator over the period 1995 to 2020 for 45 SSA countries. Our results show that climate change increases fragility in SSA; specifically, rising temperatures and decreasing rainfall increase the social, economic, political and security fragility of SSA countries. The study also reveals that gross domestic product, population growth, migrant remittances, foreign direct investment, natural resources, inflation and agricultural price volatility are mechanisms through which climate change exacerbates state fragility. Based on these results, we recommend climate change adaptation measures such as increasing water storage to cope with periods of extreme drought, growing climate-smart crops, and the introduction of environmental public policies

Agriculture · Climate change · Development economics · Econometrics · Economics · Food security · Foreign direct investment · Fragility · Geography · Gross domestic product · Macroeconomics · Natural resource economics · Panel data · Population · Agricultural risk and resilience · International Development and Aid · Natural Resources and Economic Development · Ecology

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Open DOIOpen Access