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Are shocks to tourist arrivals permanent or transitory? A comprehensive analysis on the top 20 most-visited countries

Bibliographic Data

ID21699404
AuthorsAli Gökhan Yücel (0000-0001-7509-7693, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Erciyes University, Kayseri, Turkey, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume24
Issue16
Pages2294-2311
Publication date2021-08-18
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueCurrent Issues in Tourism (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1368-3500 • E-ISSN: 1747-7603
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/13683500.2020.1828311
OpenAlexW3093514098
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited84

Tourism sector is highly vulnerable to shocks due to its characteristics. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the effects of the shocks on the tourism sector would be permanent or transitory. To this end, I analysed the number of tourist arrivals in the top 20 most-visited countries for the 1995–2018 period. I employed a battery of cross-sectional dependency tests, second-generation panel unit root tests without and with structural breaks. The findings significantly change from non-stationary to stationary when structural breaks are incorporated. The results suggest that tourist arrivals to top 20 most-visited countries are stationary under sharp structural breaks. This finding is important in that shocks hitting tourism sector are transitory and the effects of shocks will eventually die out, but the new equilibrium will not converge to its pre-shock level

Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Panel data · Structural break · Tourism · Unit root · Computer Science · Diverse Aspects of Tourism Research · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth

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Unique citing works9
Citations per year2,25
Citation span2022 - 2026 (5)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 9

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