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The effects of absent fathers on adolescent criminal activity

An economic approach

Bibliographic Data

ID21876772
AuthorsDavid M Zimmer (0000-0002-3131-709X, Western Kentucky University, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume89
Issue1
Pages85-103
Publication date2023-03-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Demographic Economics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2054-0892 • E-ISSN: 2054-0906
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/dem.2021.26
OpenAlexW3206762786
LanguageEN
References cited24

Simple ordinary least squares estimates indicate that absent fathers boost probabilities of adolescent criminal behavior by 16–38%, but those numbers likely are biased by unobserved heterogeneity. This paper first presents an economic model explaining that unobserved heterogeneity. Then turning to empirics, fixed effects, which attempt to address that bias, suggest that absent fathers reduce certain types of adolescent crime, while lagged-dependent variable models suggest the opposite. Those conflicting conclusions are resolved by an approach that combines those two estimators using an orthogonal reparameterization approach, with model parameters calculated using a Bayesian algorithm. The main finding is that absent fathers do not appear to directly affect adolescent criminal activity. Rather, families with absent fathers possess traits that appear to correlate with increased adolescent criminal behaviors

Bayesian probability · Criminal behavior · Criminal behaviour · Criminology · Developmental psychology · Econometrics · Economics · Estimator · Instrumental variable · Ordinary least squares · Statistics · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Mathematics · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Highly citedNo

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